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☆ 3 of Wall Street's biggest banks share what's next for markets after the largest earnings surprise in years — and 25 top stocks to invest in for stable, long-term profit growth
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Large technology stocks have continued to be a key driver of earnings growth. Those calls are based on the firms' expectation that the economy will continue to grow despite uncomfortably high interest rates. Bullish firms concur that elevated interest rates are a serious concern for investors. "Should the outlook for earnings growth deteriorate, the recent stretch of quality outperformance will likely continue and also expand to include stocks with stable growth," Kostin wrote. Along with each is its ticker, market capitalization, sector, 2024 expected earnings growth rate, and 10-year EBITDA growth variability rate, according to Goldman Sachs.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, That's, Jonathan Golub, David Lefkowitz, Stocks, they've, Mike Wilson, Morgan, 19.3x, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Wilson, Kostin, Russell Organizations: UBS, Business, UBS Beats, UBS Global Wealth Management, Companies, Federal Reserve

☆ Goldman names 'stable growers' to buy as higher rates put brakes on 2024 rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"Stocks with stable growth typically perform best alongside decelerating economic growth." In this economic climate, Goldman is advising clients to buy stocks offering stable growth. The Wall Street bank screened Russell 1000 stocks for those with the most stable growth in earnings before taxes, depreciation and amortization on a quarterly basis over the past 10 years. "Should the outlook for earnings growth deteriorate, the recent stretch of quality outperformance will likely continue and also expand to include stocks with stable growth," Goldman said. Industrial companies such as Waste Management and Fastenal also made the list, as well as consumer discretionary names Domino's Pizza and AutoZone .

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Goldman, Fastenal Organizations: Federal Reserve, Russell, PepsiCo, Colgate, Palmolive, Waste Management

☆ Stock futures are little changed following S&P 500's best week since November: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-28 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

S&P 500 futures inched higher Sunday night as the broad index came off its best week in several months. Traders are looking ahead to a week with more corporate earnings, key labor data and a Federal Reserve meeting. The S&P 500 jumped 2.7%, notching its best week since November and breaking a three-week negative streak. "However, during the past few weeks, the driver of rates has shifted from better growth tohawkish monetary policy concerns, which has been more difficult for stocks to digest." Monetary policy will take center stage later in the week, with the Fed set to release its latest interest rate announcement on Wednesday.

Persons: David Kostin, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell, April's nonfarm Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Traders, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Apple Locations: April's

☆ Goldman Sachs likes these stocks that are growing profitably
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

As the equity market's profitability nears its all-time highs, Goldman Sachs recently shared some stocks that could see big growth over the next 12 months. In 2024, Kostin expects margin expansion will continue to support ROE growth. In the same report, Goldman Sachs shared its rebalanced ROE growth basket of stocks, which contains 50 names selected for their expected profit growth over the next 12 months. Rising growth fears, solar compensation cutbacks and rising interest rates sank solar stocks last year, but they've since made a comeback. Consensus estimates for the financials sector reveal that most analysts expect ROE growth to remain flat in the same time period.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, ROE, Kostin, Estée Lauder, Electric's, Goldman, Wells, Janney, Blackstone Organizations: Kostin, Info Tech, Deutsche Bank, GE Aerospace, Communications, Mobile Locations: Wells Fargo, China

Goldman Sachs' David Kostin expects earnings will be higher this year even amid concerns of margin pressures in the face of higher inflation. Of those companies, Kostin noted, roughly two-thirds have topped expectations on the bottom line, while about one-third beat estimates on the top line. "What that suggests to us is that companies are able and demonstrating the ability to kind of squeak over a little bit margin," Kostin told CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" on Tuesday. The chief U.S. equity strategist said he anticipates inflation will eventually move lower this year, and interest rates will come down from their highs, helping to drive earnings growth. "Our forecast is that [the] market rises slowly in line with expectations for earnings," Kostin said.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, CNBC's, Sarah Min

☆ Goldman Sachs: These 30 stocks are primed to outperform in a strong economy since they're investing heavily in future growth opportunities like artificial intelligence
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

But strategists at the Wall Street giant aren't only watching sales and earnings growth, the latter of which is expected to rise 8% this year and 6% in 2025. Share buybacks will be the next most common use of cash, Kostin wrote. Companies will also reward shareholders through dividends, which should tick up 6% this year thanks to 8% earnings growth, according to Goldman Sachs. "The AI investment cycle among the mega-cap tech stocks will support investing for growth," Kostin wrote. Goldman SachsBelow are the 30 stocks in that basket where capex and R&D spending is at least 10% of a company's market value.

Persons: shouldn't, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, That's, It's, they'll, Stocks Organizations: Business, Corporate

☆ Stock market focus has shifted from inflation to earnings, says Goldman's David Kostin
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStock market focus has shifted from inflation to earnings, says Goldman's David KostinDavid Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief U.S. equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss if the year is playing out as expected, any reason to doubt upcoming quarters will bring further margin improvement, and more.

Persons: Goldman's David Kostin David Kostin, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Email

☆ These companies spending big to grow their businesses are primed to outperform, Goldman says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Companies that are spending big internally to grow their businesses should start outperforming if the economy remains on strong footing, according to Goldman Sachs. The Wall Street bank is advising clients consider buying companies with a high level of capital expenditure and research and development expenses. Those companies have outperformed those returning cash to shareholders via buybacks and dividends this year by 2 percentage points, Goldman said. In this environment, investors typically reward companies investing for growth when economic growth is accelerating, if history is any guide, Goldman said. The firm found a slew of stocks in the S & P 500 with the highest percentage of capex and R & D per market cap.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Kostin Organizations: Norwegian Cruise Line, United Airlines, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Meta, Intel, HP, Western Digital Locations: Norwegian, United

☆ Goldman Sachs: 3 top energy stocks to buy with valuations at 30-year lows for investors hoping to hedge against higher inflation and flaring tensions in the Middle East
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Energy stocks have finally caught fire in an increasingly uncomfortable backdrop for investors. Another compelling selling point for energy stocks is that there will be strong long-term demand for oil, Kostin wrote. "Our commodities strategists expect long-term energy demand will remain solid, in part because of increased global energy demand from the structural rise in transportation needs in EMs and AI." All three stocks will enjoy resilient long-term energy demand, Kostin wrote. Each firm has pulled back lately alongside the slight dip in oil prices and would benefit if the rally resumes.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Brent, David Kostin, Kostin, They're Organizations: Business, Oil, Hamas, Goldman Sachs Energy, Commodities, Mutual, Marathon Petroleum, Schlumberger, ConocoPhillips Locations: East, Israel, Iran, Syria

☆ Hot inflation and high estimates could ruin the Q1 earnings season. Why investment chiefs are increasingly worried — and the bull case that profits are still underestimated.
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Without strong profit progress in the Q1 earnings season starting in mid-April, US stocks may surrender their 8.2% year-to-date gain. Loftier estimates, top-heavy earnings are reasons for worryFirms have a rather low bar to clear in the upcoming earnings season, as is often the case. The market's largest companies are disproportionately driving earnings growth in addition to stock returns, Goldman Sachs found. The Q1 earnings season begins in earnest on Friday as big banks share results. Early reporters have beaten earnings estimates by 13.5%, Golub wrote, which he added is more than double the typical rate.

Persons: Richard Saperstein, James Ragan, David Kostin, Goldman Sachs, Kostin, Anthony Saglimbene, Ameriprise, we're, Saglimbene, Arun Bharath, Bharath, Jonathan Golub, Golub, they're Organizations: Federal Reserve, Business, Treasury Partners, DA Davidson, Nvidia, Big Tech, Bel Air Investment Advisors, UBS, Institute for Supply Management Locations: America

☆ A 32-year market vet warns the S&P 500 is set to fall 50%-70% in the years ahead with valuations at historic highs — and says that an imminently weakening labor market will be the catalyst for the cra
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-30 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

According to Bank of America, valuation levels explain 80% of the market's return over a 10-year period. Bank of AmericaThere are many ways to measure valuation levels in the overall market. Hussman says it's the most accurate indicator of future market returns that he's found. AdvertisementThe Conference BoardThird, the number of US states with a rising unemployment rate is spiking, meaning that the overall unemployment rate should see further upside. BullAndBearProfits.comThe US unemployment rate is already on a slight uptrend, having climbed from 3.4% in April 2023 to 3.9% as of February.

Persons: —, Jon Wolfenbarger, Merrill Lynch, John Hussman's, he's, Warren Buffett, Wolfenbarger, Stocks, Woflenbarger, Cam Harvey, Claudia Sahm, Louis Fed, Jeremy Grantham, John Hussman, David Rosenberg, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, America's Savita Subramanian, Ian Shepherdson, Shepherdson Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, JPMorgan, National Federation of Independent Business, Board, Treasury, Bank, America's

☆ Here's why Goldman Sachs maintains its S&P 500 year-end target to 5,200
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why Goldman Sachs maintains its S&P 500 year-end target to 5,200David Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief U.S. equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what's most likely for equities, what happens to Kostin's target if there are more or less rate cuts than predicted, and more.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin

☆ Goldman gives 4 scenarios for stocks: One sees S&P 500 rallying to 6,000, another calls for a drop to 4,500
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( John Melloy | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The market's surprising rally has lifted the S & P 500 to Goldman Sachs' year-end target before the first-quarter is even over, so the firm is giving clients various scenarios that could happen from here. If their target ends up being correct and stocks pull back, Goldman recommended clients get long its basket of defensive stocks. The S & P 500 is coming off its best week since December, bringing it to 5,234.18. Catch-down scenario: The S & P 500 falls to 4,500, or down 14% from here, as sales growth estimates prove to be too optimistic, especially for the Magnificent 7 Stocks. "Mega-cap exceptionalism" scenario: The S & P 500 finishes the year at 6,000, or up another 15% from here, where expectations for stocks like Nvidia prove correct and investors take the S & P 500 to 23 price-earnings ratio.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Kostin, Kostin Organizations: CNBC Pro, Wall, Nvidia Locations: That's

☆ Goldman Sachs analysts say there’s still potential for more stock gains
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-24 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

The S&P 500 has surged more than 10% since January, and last week it surpassed Goldman Sachs’ year-end target of 5,200. The question is weighing heavily on the minds of investors, Goldman Sachs’ strategists wrote in a note Friday. The current rally in growth stocks is different from what happened when markets crashed in 2021 or during the tech bubble, the analysts wrote. Either of these shifts higher, analysts wrote, are dependent on the Federal Reserve’s next policy move. But for now, Goldman analysts will keep their baseline prediction of 5,200 for the S&P 500 unchanged.

Persons: New York CNN — It’s, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, ”, Goldman Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, “ Locations: New York

☆ JPMorgan is staying steadfastly bearish, saying market ignoring substantial risks
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-12 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

JPMorgan is sticking to its bearish thesis amid a more optimistic outlook on Wall Street, saying investors are ignoring key market risks. The Wall Street firm is an outlier among the major banks when it comes to year-end forecasts. As of Monday's close, JPMorgan expects the S & P 500 will tumble more than 17% to its 2024 target of 4,200, according to CNBC's market strategist survey . The S & P 500 has repeatedly notched all-time highs on the back of the artificial intelligence trade. The AI beneficiary, which has been a major driver for the S & P 500's gains this year, could drag the benchmark should it start to sell off.

Persons: Marko Kolanovic, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, America's Savita Subramanian, Kolanovic, NVDA Organizations: JPMorgan, Bank, America's, Nvidia Locations: Gaza, Ukraine

☆ Goldman Sachs says these names offer the best stock picking opportunities going forward
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Goldman Sachs said the stock market performance has been driven by company specific factors rather than the macroeconomic environment, and the Wall Street firm identified a host of names that it said offer the most attractive microeconomic setups. The investment bank used a so-called " dispersion score " for each S & P 500 stock to identify "the best stock-picking opportunities going forward." It's important to note that stocks with high dispersion scores reflect a large alpha opportunity , but not necessarily in one direction or the other, meaning a stock can have outsized outperformance or underperformance. Goldman found that among the 11 S & P 500 sectors, consumer discretionary and technology groupings offer the best stock picking opportunities based on their dispersion scores, while real estate and utilities have the lowest scores, hence less chance of generating alpha. Stocks with the highest dispersion scores in the benchmark stock index are Monster Beverage , DexCom , Akamai Technologies , Centene and Align Technology , according to Goldman.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Kostin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Street, Monster Beverage, Akamai Technologies, Technology

☆ U.S. stock futures are little changed after Nasdaq rallies to record high: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-03 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., February 23, 2024. U.S. stock futures were little changed Sunday night after the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite posted a record-high Friday, breaking its 2021 record, as stocks attempt to continue their weeks-long rally. Futures tied to the S&P 500 fell marginally, while Nasdaq-100 futures ticked slightly lower. Futures tied to the 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 47 points, or 0.1%. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq last week reached their seventh weekly gain in eight, while the Dow ended the week in the red.

Persons: Dow, David Kostin, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Federal, ADP Employment Survey, Manufacturing Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Goldman's stock strategist says these 'shared favorites' among top investor types typically beat the S&P
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Goldman Sachs anticipates the S & P 500 will rise to 5,200 by the end of the year, the CNBC Market Strategist Survey showed. Instead, some better opportunities may lie in "shared favorites," according to David Kostin, chief U.S. equity strategist at Goldman Sachs. They've outperformed the S & P 500 a majority of the time, 63%, in the months since 2013. Other names Kostin considers shared favorites include Mastercard , Visa and Danaher . "Some of these shared favorites are … less highly valued and that's a perhaps more risk adjusted return opportunity set," Kostin said.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, That's, David Kostin, Kostin, CNBC's, They've, TD Cowen, Morgan Stanley, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC Market, Mutual Fund, KKR, Mastercard, Visa

☆ Portfolio managers should own the 'shared favorite' stocks, says Goldman's David Kostin
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPortfolio managers should own the 'shared favorite' stocks, says Goldman's David KostinDavid Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief U.S. equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why some investors are looking beyond the magnificent sevens stocks, how mutual funds and hedge funds have rarely outperformed the S&P 500, and more.

Persons: Goldman's David Kostin David Kostin, Goldman Sachs

☆ These 3 names that are about to report quarterly results have strong earnings momentum
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-20 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

About 80% of S & P 500 constituents have already reported, with more than three-quarters of these names beating earnings estimates, according to FactSet. The 14 analysts covering the stock rate it either a buy or a strong buy, with their average price target of $613.86 implying about 12% upside ahead, per LSEG. Average earnings estimates on the power company have ticked up roughly 8% over the past three months, while shares have added about 12% in 2024. Seven of the 13 analysts covering the stock rate it a buy or a strong buy, but their average price target of $124.64 suggests downside of nearly 5%, per LSEG. Mizuho Securities is neutral on the stock, recently raising its price target to $132 from $116.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Raymond James, Srini Pajjuri, Anthony Crowdell Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Constellation Energy, Mizuho Securities, Constellation Locations: Mizuho

☆ Goldman raises S&P 500 target to 5,200, cites strong earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-20 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Goldman Sachs raised its S & P 500 year-end target to 5,200 in anticipation of stronger-than-expected earnings — especially in megacaps. "In contrast, the remaining 493 stocks in the S & P 500 grew sales by 3% year/year while margins contracted by 56 bp and earnings fell by 2%." On average, strategists are expecting the S & P 500 to end the year at 4,943 , according to a CNBC survey. About 80% of S & P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 76% of those names beating earnings expectations, FactSet data shows. The S & P 500 has performed well to start the year despite broader economic concerns.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC Locations: megacaps, U.S

☆ Goldman Sachs believes it's likely the 'Magnificent 7' beats the market again this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Given that most of the "Magnificent Seven" has surpassed consensus expectations, Goldman Sachs said the group of big technology companies could once again exceed the broader market's gains this year. So far, six of the Magnificent Seven — all but blockbuster chipmaker Nvidia — have reported fourth-quarter results. Each of the companies, with the exception of electric vehicle maker Tesla , exceeded consensus sales forecasts, and collectively posted 14% year-over-year quarterly sales growth, Kostin noted. Analysts also expect the Magnificent Seven to outperform in margin expansion over the next three years, compared with the rest of the market, he added. Shares of the Magnificent Seven raced ahead of the broader market last year.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Nvidia —, Goldman, Nvidia's Organizations: Nvidia, DoJ, FTC, Analysts, Tech, Apple, Microsoft

☆ Global investors are all in on the United States, says Goldman's David Kostin
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGlobal investors are all in on the United States, says Goldman's David KostinDavid Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief U.S. equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what Kostin's hearing from global investors, whether the recent action in the Russell 2000 has changed the strategist's stance, and more.

Persons: Goldman's David Kostin David Kostin, Goldman Sachs, Russell Organizations: Email Global Locations: United States

☆ Goldman Sachs says now is the time to invest in these 38 consumer staples stocks, with the sector 90% cheaper than it's ever been and its tendency to rise when the Fed cuts rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-23 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Goldman Sachs says now is a great time to invest in consumer staples stocks. The sector is cheaper than it has been 90% of the time relative to the S&P 500. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementRight now looks like a great time to invest in the consumer staples sector of the stock market, according to Goldman Sachs. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, David Kostin Organizations: Service, Business Locations: Invest

☆ Goldman says these stocks with increasing profitability will beat the market this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The firm rebalanced its return on equity growth basket of stocks, which is sector-neutral to the S & P 500. It contains 50 names with the highest consensus expected ROE growth over the next 12 months. Stocks with greatest expected ROE growth include gold mining company Newmont , wireless infrastructure real estate investment trust American Tower , chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices and toy manufacturer Hasbro , according to Goldman. The communications-focused REIT has the second-highest expected ROE growth — 48% — of the names on Goldman's list. In addition to these names, Netflix and T-Mobile are also among the names in Goldman's ROE growth basket.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, ROE, David Kostin, Kostin, Goldman, Newmont, REIT, Goldman's ROE Organizations: Federal Reserve, Devices, Hasbro, AMD, Nvidia, UBS, Netflix, Citigroup Locations: Newmont, Goldman's

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